Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.003701 2.179743 2.367375 2.582780 2.823890 3.086205 3.394183
2025-11-16 1.713903 1.949315 2.215037 2.539144 2.926435 3.377709 3.948208
2025-11-23 1.538815 1.807200 2.123068 2.526147 3.032463 3.655010 4.490410
2025-11-30 1.445839 1.743689 2.106692 2.588073 3.219499 4.033733 5.187137
2025-12-07 1.340196 1.650729 2.039912 2.572381 3.296232 4.267764 5.709481
2025-12-14 1.247962 1.564919 1.971756 2.543635 3.345837 4.461635 6.188861
2025-12-21 1.146969 1.459142 1.867647 2.454686 3.299771 4.510849 6.454167
2025-12-28 1.093691 1.412277 1.837633 2.463231 3.388957 4.758914 7.045226
2026-01-04 1.052989 1.379064 1.822820 2.490189 3.504482 5.053713 7.742803
2026-01-11 1.017924 1.350889 1.812240 2.520904 3.625937 5.366389 8.506868
2026-01-18 0.984490 1.322598 1.798959 2.545322 3.737729 5.671849 9.296019
2026-01-25 0.947867 1.287383 1.772943 2.547468 3.812567 5.921041 10.014112
2026-02-01 0.894628 1.226091 1.706055 2.483188 3.776425 5.982102 10.396369
2026-02-08 0.854299 1.181809 1.662201 2.452277 3.793108 6.136748 10.983643
2026-02-15 0.822267 1.148188 1.632477 2.441649 3.842630 6.354030 11.728897
2026-02-22 0.809385 1.142631 1.645386 2.501248 4.018837 6.823373 13.082843
2026-03-01 0.780364 1.110848 1.615239 2.486279 4.059540 7.037014 13.907646
2026-03-08 0.750632 1.076567 1.579258 2.458765 4.074432 7.200297 14.642367
2026-03-15 0.710610 1.024541 1.512298 2.373576 3.974890 7.122231 14.786816
2026-03-22 0.692421 1.006203 1.499148 2.381762 4.052926 7.417694 15.903416
2026-03-29 0.678815 0.994509 1.496188 2.407583 4.166694 7.800538 17.317534
2026-04-05 0.666619 0.984498 1.495397 2.436999 4.289600 8.216877 18.908198
2026-04-12 0.653923 0.973085 1.491579 2.460382 4.401925 8.622357 20.558287